To a Blind Horse

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Why Facts Don't Change Our Minds

Why Facts Don’t Change Our Minds: “As a rule, strong feelings about issues do not emerge from deep understanding,” Sloman and Fernbach write. And here our dependence on other minds reinforces the problem. If your position on, say, the Affordable Care Act is baseless and I rely on it, then my opinion is also baseless. When I talk to Tom and he decides he agrees with me, his opinion is also baseless, but now that the three of us concur we feel that much more smug about our views. If we all now dismiss as unconvincing any information that contradicts our opinion, you get, well, the Trump Administration. 更多...

Elements of a Durable Civilization

Elements of a Durable Civilization: It’s the combination of fast and slow that makes the whole system resilient. Fast learns, slow remembers. Fast proposes, slow disposes. Fast absorbs shocks, slow integrates shocks. Fast is discontinuous, slow continuous. Fast affects slow with accrued innovation and occasional revolution. Slow controls fast with constraint and constancy. 更多...